Issue 147Threat Analysis · China · GEO
SJ-29A/B conduct synchronized maneuvers
A paired Shijian-29 test system has tightened its formation in the geostationary belt to roughly 30–35 km — the closest the two have flown — while the U.S.…
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A paired Shijian-29 test system has tightened its formation in the geostationary belt to roughly 30–35 km — the closest the two have flown — while the U.S.…
22 May 2026: I thought it might be helpful to do a short review on space maneuvers and their fuel requirements. First a note on why we talk…
The growing competition in space between the United States and China is no longer theoretical or confined to science fiction. The recent Financial Times interactive report “Space Weapons”…
7 May 2026: Chinese space operators increased the average altitude of SJ-23 (55131) ~105km to reverse its eastward drift. The maneuvers occurred as the satellite approached 175°E Longitude,…
Iran’s non-kinetic campaign has produced measurable operational effects across navigation, communications, and the broader information environment. Disruptions to GPS and satellite-based systems have increased the risk to maritime…
30 April 2026: According to reporting by Matt Burgess of WIRED , since the start of the conflict on February 28, 2026, Iran has significantly expanded its use…
1 May 2026: TJS-10 (58204) increased its SMA ~52.4km from 28-30 April. The maneuver halted TJS-10's eastward drift and the satellite is now maintaining its position at 92.4°…
3 May 2026: As we noted in previous Flash editions, Cosmos 2589 (64467) had nearly completed its orbit circularization and USA 325 (51281) looked to be heading in…
8 April 2026: The 2026 Secure World Foundation Global Counterspace Capabilities Report assesses the continued expansion of counterspace capabilities across 13 countries and highlights the increasing integration of…
17 Apr 2026: Cosmos 2576 (59773), a suspected Nivelir co-orbital weapon system, raised its SMA nearly 30km from 28 Mar - 11 Apr. Russian space operators conducted a…
17 Apr 2026: Over the next 2-3 weeks both USA 325 and TJS-10 will pass through Cosmos 2589's orbit. As we began reporting in November 2025, Cosmos 2589…
8 Apr 2026: LtGen (R) John Shaw (and Friend of the Flash) authored an article on the coming Age of Space Maneuver in Forbes. Excerpts below and you…
15 Apr 2026: The Financial Times reported that the Iranian military has tasking authority of a Chinese commercial imaging satellite, TEE-01B (60012), and has leveraged this capability to…
29 Mar 2026: On ~15 Mar 2026 USA 324 (51280), a US GSSAP inspector satellite, arrived in vicinity of SJ-29A & 29B (67302 & 67303) at ~73.0°E longitude.…
4 Apr 2026: From 30 Mar - 1 Apr Chinese space operators decreased the SMA for TJS-10 (58204) nearly 200km. The maneuver reversed TJS-10's ~1.9°/day westward drift and…
By Dr. Larissa Beavers 18 March 2026: The Wall Street Journal’s , Thomas Grove , recently reported that Russia is allegedly expanding military cooperation with Iran by providing…
By Dr. Larissa Beavers 11 March 2026: Al Jazeera reporter Nina Montagu-Smith examines growing intelligence assessments that Iran may be leveraging China’s BeiDou satellite navigation system to improve…
3 Mar 2026: We last updated SJ-29A/B (67302 & 67303) in the 2 Feb 2026 Flash . Recall, at that time the pair had settled into GEO at…
23 Dec 2025: The US Department of Defense/War released its annual report to Congress on military and security developments involving the People’s Republic of China. The document highlights…
By Dr. Larissa Beavers 2 March 2026: Matt Burgess , an author from WIRED , reports a sharp increase in GPS/GNSS interference affecting maritime traffic in the Middle…
Nov 2025: The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) released its 2025 Annual Report to Congress on November 18, 2025, offering 28 bipartisan recommendations to address rising…
5 Feb 2026: I thought it was about time to check in on the Russian satellites operating in near-coplanar orbits with high-value US satellites. Thanks again to the…
By Dr. Larissa Beavers PBS News reports two NATO intelligence services suspect that Russia is developing an anti-satellite weapon specifically designed to disrupt or disable SpaceX’s Starlink satellite…
By Dr. Larissa Beavers The CNA report “ Russian Concepts of Future Warfare Based on Lessons from the Ukraine War ” examines how Russian military elites’ strategic and…