Issue 42

Ukraine Invasion Threatens ISS Cooperation

24 Feb 2022: Dmitry Rogozin, head of Russian space agency Roscosmos, unleashed a tweetstorm in response to the threat of US sanctions that could impact the space program. In the thread, Rogozin argued the Russia's space program has operated just fine with restrictions in place since the Russian annexation of Crimea in…

24 Feb 2022: Dmitry Rogozin, head of Russian space agency Roscosmos, unleashed a tweetstorm in response to the threat of US sanctions that could impact the space program. In the thread, Rogozin argued the Russia’s space program has operated just fine with restrictions in place since the Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014. The rant took a bizarre turn as Rogozin floated the idea of dropping the ISS on our heads should the US and other participating nations kick Russia out of the program.

– Rogozin rightly noted Russian engines help steer the ISS out of the way of space junk in orbit.

– Rogozin later stated: “”If you block cooperation with us, who will save the ISS from an uncontrolled deorbit and fall into the United States or Europe? There is also the option of dropping a 500-ton structure to India and China. Do you want to threaten them with such a prospect? The ISS does not fly over Russia, so all the risks are yours.”

– NASA’s response was measured, saying the space agency “continues working with all our international partners, including the State Space Corporation Roscosmos, for the ongoing safe operations of the International Space Station.”

– For his part, Elon Musk responded, “BTW Dmitry (Rogozin), no trampolines are required for crew, cargo, or reboost. #SpaceX has that covered. Just sayin'” in reference to Rogozin’s 2014 suggestion that NASA use a trampoline to send astronauts to orbit after US sanctions were first imposed.

Prior to Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea, U.S. and Russian space programs were tightly coupled. In response to sanctions, Rogozin, then Russian deputy prime minister, threatened to deny NASA access to seats on the Soyuz capsule and halt export of RD-180 rocket engines.

– Under the threat of losing the ability to put astronauts in space, Congress gave NASA requested funding for the Commercial Crew Program.

– Atlas 5 rockets continue to rely on RD-180 engines, but United Launch Alliance has all the RD-180s it needs for its remaining Atlas launches.

Roscosmos has struggled over the past 8 years in the face of Western sanctions. Western observers who track the Russian space industry realize the program is deeply troubled, and running on the fumes of its past and very real glory. Russian media outlets have also published critical articles in the past several months.

Russian ISS Segment.

Complete ISS.

Carl Sagan quote: momentary masters of a fraction of a dot.