Issue 48

Kerplunk: Kosmos 2555 Plummets

18 May 2022: The satellite Russia launched on 29 Apr 2022 using the Angara 1.2 rocket re-entered the Earth's atmosphere and was destroyed. Kosmos 2555 was believed to have been a small imagery satellite similar to Kosmos 2525 and Kosmos 2551. Kosmos 2525 operated for 3 years while Kosmos 2551 also re-entered the…

18 May 2022: The satellite Russia launched on 29 Apr 2022 using the Angara 1.2 rocket re-entered the Earth’s atmosphere and was destroyed. Kosmos 2555 was believed to have been a small imagery satellite similar to Kosmos 2525 and Kosmos 2551. Kosmos 2525 operated for 3 years while Kosmos 2551 also re-entered the Earth’s atmosphere after 1 month.

– Originally launched into a 279 x 294 km x 96.5° orbit, the orbit of Kosmos-2555 decayed to a 227.7-km perigee and a 247.9-km apogee by 14 May. Over the next 3 days the satellite continued to lose altitude.

– On 17 May Kosmos 2555’s altitude had decreased to 113.6 x 131.9kms. Russian space analysts stated Kosmos 2555 apparently decayed on 17 May and was lost.

– There were no clear attempts to raise Kosmos 2555, potentially an indication that the satellite was never activated.

– There is some speculation that Kosmos 2555 was just a mock-up and not an actual operational satellite.

– Short of Russia releasing additional information (unlikely) it will be difficult to discern between a mock-up and a failed operational satellite, especially when a new launch vehicle is introduced.

– Assuming Kosmos 2555 was the third EMKA (experimental) imagery satellite this makes the EMKA success rate 33%. Kosmos 2551 also did not make orbital adjustments and appears to have failed, reentering a month after launch.

– Only the original EMKA satellite, Kosmos-2525 appears to have been a success, having stayed on orbit for over 2 years.

Kosmos 2555 altitude decay leading to atmospheric re-entry.

Plot comparing the unusually low orbital heights of three possible EMKA imaging satellites.