Issue 65

17 Jan 2023: China’s state-owned and commercial space sector actors are planning a total of

more than 70 launches across 2023 as the country’s space activities continue to expand.

– The Long March rocket series will again aim for more than 50 launches this year, according to an announcement from an early Jan meeting. – China is expected to grow its Earth observation and reconnaissance capabilities further, continuing a high rate of launches of Yaogan and Gaofen satellites, while also launching replacement satellites for the Beidou GNSS constellation. Communications, meteorological and ocean observations satellites will also be part of the manifest. – The older hypergolic Long March 2, 3 and 4

Long March-7A

series rockets will be active, as will the newer, kerosene-liquid oxygen Long March 7, 7A and 8 rockets. CASC recently announced a new production line for kerolox engines. The solid Long March 11 and Jielong-3 will also launch from land and sea. – CASIC, and its subsidiary Expace, plan numerous launches of its solid Kuaizhou-1A and larger Kuaizhou- 11 solid rockets following their return to flight last year. The launchers will likely carry satellites for CASIC’s Xingyun Internet of Things constellation and mainly commercial payloads. – Galactic Energy completed its first launch of the year in early Jan and, following a string of five successes from five attempts, looks to launch 8-10 Ceres-1 solid rockets this year, including a possible inaugural sea launch in the second half of the year. -Landspace could attempt a second launch of its Zhuque-2 methane-LOX launcher, after an issue with second stage vernier thrusters brought about the failure of the first launch last month. -Deep Blue Aerospace plans to build on a kilometer- level hop test conducted last year with a 100-kilometer- altitude test in 2023.

Long March-8

Zhuque-2

Ceres-1

China launched 64 times in 2022. Combined launch plans of CASC and commercial actors could see the country top 70 launches this year from three inland spaceports, the coastal Wenchang spaceport, and sea launches from Haiyang spaceport.

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4 · Source 5 · Source 6 · Source 7 · Source 8 · Source 9

19 Jan 2023: Shijian-23, a Chinese experimental satellite operating in geostationary orbit (GEO),

released a small object. SJ-23 was initially thought of as a likely follow-on to SJ-13, a

communications satellite. However, the release of a sub-payload is more indicative of SJ-17,

TJS-3 and SJ-21. Shijian-23 and its apparent subsatellite could be conducting technology

verification tests.

– China launched SJ-23 (SCN 55131) to GEO on a Long March 7A rocket on 8 Jan. – Space Force's 18th Space Defense Squadron (18 SDS), which focuses on space domain awareness, tracked SJ-23 reaching geosynchronous orbit around 15 Jan and drifted toward its intended position in the GEO belt. – 18 SDS revealed SJ-23 released an object (SCN 55180) on 16 Jan, now labeled "SJ-23 AKM". -"AKM", or apogee kick motor, helps a satellite reach its destination orbit. However, it is possible the object is a subsatellite, possibly used together with the parent satellite for on-orbit testing. -The SJ-23 AKM is currently west of SJ-23, both drifting westward at roughly the same rate. – China's Shijian-21 satellite, launched in 2021, also reached GEO and released a satellite, which was then used for tests. Shijian-21 then proceeded to dock with the defunct Chinese navigation and positioning satellite Beidou-2 G2 and towed it to an orbit out of the way of active spacecraft in GEO. – In Jan 2019, China's TJS-3 also conducted maneuvers with its Apogee Kick Motor shortly after arriving in GEO. (Video) – In Nov 2016 Shijian-17 performed test maneuvers with its upper stage. SJ-17 later went on to conduct RPOs of other Chinese GEO satellites. (Video)

AKM SJ-23

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4 · Source 5 · Source 6 · Source 7 · Source 8

26 Jan 2023: After disappearing from observations between 29 Dec 2022 and 25 Jan 2023,

China's Shiyan 10-02 is now cataloged in a Molniya orbit. The satellite likely conducted a large

maneuver shortly after 29 Dec which included a 12° inclination change. A LM-3B initially placed

SY-10-02 into a 51° orbit. As of 26 Jan the satellite is now

in the Classic Molniya orbit of ~63.33°.

– Shiyan 10-02's orbital plane is 103° away from its predecessor, Shiyan 10-01. In this configuration at least one of the satellites has a continuous view of the Earth from the North Pole down to 40-45° latitude. – It is unclear why China launched the satellites into their original 51° orbit. Both satellites launched from Xichang so it is possible there are flight restrictions preventing China from launching directly into a 63° inclined orbit. – Shiyan 10-02 transitioned far more quickly to Molniya than its predecessor. Shiyan 10-01 spent nearly 6 months in its transition orbit. Chinese media reported that the SY-10-01 launch proceeded normally, but the satellite operating

Shiyan 10-02

Shiyan 10-01

conditions were abnormal. It is likely these anomalies delayed the satellite's maneuver to its desired orbit. Shiyan 10-01 and 10-02 are China's only HEO satellites. -China has not released the mission of the Shiyan 10 satellites. The US and Russia have satellites in Molniya orbits and use the ~12hr loiter over Earth's northern latitudes for missile warning, communications and signals intelligence.

APStar-6E Begins Manuever to GEO

25 Jan 2023: China's APSTAR-6E telecommunication

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4

25 Jan 2023: China's APSTAR-6E telecommunication

satellite, launched on 13 Jan 2023 into LEO, separated

from its independent propulsion module, and is now

using its electric thrusters to transit to GEO.

– CASC, APStar-6E's manufacturer stated APSTAR-6E is China's first satellite to change its orbit entirely autonomously. After separating from its independent propulsion module, the satellite will be transferred to GEO by its two electric propulsion systems. – Apstar-6E raised its orbit from 229 x 642km to 1022 x 7095km x 28.6° between Jan 13 and Jan 22. – Another TLE on Jan 23 shows a further orbit change to 554 x 7401km x 28.5°. -No tracking data is available for the presumably discarded detachable kick-stage.

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3

27 Jan 2023: LeoLabs reported two pieces of Russian space debris came within ~6m of colliding

in orbit. Both uncontrolled objects are in a particularly dangerous LEO altitude (between 950-

1050km). One object is an SL-8 rocket upper stage used to launch a Tsikada navigation satellite

in 1986. The other debris is a Parus data relay satellite launched by a Kosmos-3M in 1998.

– Two large, defunct objects in LEO narrowly missed each other — an SL-8 rocket body (16511) and Cosmos 2361 (25590) at an altitude of 984km. – Based on LEOLabs radar tracking data, the computed miss distance was 6m with an error margin of a few tens of meters. – Cosmos 2361 has a 17m long gravity gradient boom. – LeoLabs says the incident was very close to being a "worst-case scenario" that could have generated thousands of more pieces of debris in a ripple effect.

– 984km is in the middle of what LEOLabs calls a "bad neighborhood". – This region, 950-1050km, has significant debris-generating potential in LEO due to a mix of breakup events and abandoned derelict objects. – This region hosts ~160 SL-8 rocket bodies along with ~160 payloads deployed over 20 years ago. – There were 1,400 high-Probability of Collision conjunctions involving these rocket bodies between Jun-Sep 2022 alone. – Had the SL-8 rocket body and Cosmos 2361 collided, it likely would've resulted in thousands of new debris fragments that would have persisted for decades.

SL-8 Second Stage

Parus Satellite

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4 · Source 5 · Source 6 · Source 7 · Source 8 · Source 9

16 Jan 2023: Space Review article on China's space station accomplishments and ambitions.

With the launch of the Shenzhou 15 mission, China became only the third nation to operate a

permanently crewed space station. China's space station, Tiangong, is entirely built and run by

China. The successful opening of the station is the beginning of some exciting science. But the

station also highlights the country’s policy of self-reliance and an important step for China

toward achieving its larger space ambitions.

– Tiangong is 55m long and is comprised of three modules launched separately and connected in space. The Tiangong core module can support up to six taikonauts and two experiment modules which combine for a total 110 cubic meters of space (about one-fifth the size of the International Space Station). -Tiangong is based on a Soviet-era design is a near copy of the Soviet Mir space station from the 1980s. However, the Tiangong station is heavily modernized and improved. – The Chinese space station is slated to stay in orbit for 15 years, with plans to send two six-month crewed missions and two cargo missions annually. Science experiments underway include a planned study involving monkey reproduction commencing in the station’s biological test cabinets. Whether the monkeys will cooperate is an entirely different matter. – Tiangong is made and managed by China, but they have an open invitation for other nations to collaborate on experiments aboard Tiangong. So far, China selected nine projects from 17 countries. – In Dec 2023, China is planning to launch a new space telescope called Xuntian. This telescope will map stars and supermassive black holes among other projects with a resolution about the same as the Hubble Space Telescope…but with a wider view. The telescope will periodically dock with the station for maintenance. – It remains to be seen how space collaboration will change in the coming years. The US-led Artemis program aims to build a self- sustaining habitat on the Moon and open to all nations with more than 20 countries already partnering. China also recently opened its joint Moon mission with Russia to other nations. This was partly driven by warming Chinese-Russian relations but also because Sweden, France, and the European Space Agency cancelled planned missions with Russia over Ukraine.

Video

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4 · Source 5 · Source 6 · Source 7 · Source 8 · Source 9 · Source 10 · Source 11 · Source 12 · Source 13

Pics o’ the week!

Chinese Lunar New Year Posters & Taikonauts Welcoming the Year of the Rabbit

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2

Detailed models of the Chinese Space Station Modules

Original PDF links: Source 1

China Announces the name of its Manned Lunar Launcher… The Long March 10

Mars’ Olympus Mons volcano is 26 km high (3x the height of Mt. Everest) and covers an area the size of Arizona.

Original PDF links: Source 1

Was Unaware of this: NASA had talks with the Sesame Street production crew to

send Big Bird into space. In the end since his suit was too big, they decided

against putting him on STS-51-L, Space Shuttle Challenger, in 1986.

STS-51-L was the infamous Challenger disaster.

3461 Frances Berkeley Williamsburg VA 23188

555 E. Pikes Peak Ave Colorado Springs, CO 80903

isruniversity.com

ussfa.org

integrityisr.com

#WeKnowISR

#WeKnowSpace

Original PDF links: Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Source 4 · Source 5

ISR University Develop Your Future!

ISR University revolutionizes learning through innovative use of technology and resources to deliver agile, student-centric & customer-focused learning anywhere, anytime. Our highly qualified instructors leverage decades of operational, instructional, and educational experience to maximize student learning and knowledge sharing.

CONTACT US

Certified Space Professional 1 (CSP-1) SP100 – Introduction to the Space Environment & Space Systems CSP1 Certification Exam

Analytic Thought AW100 – Foundations of Analytic Writing AW200 – Analytical Writing AW300 – Collaborative Analytical Writing CT100 – Foundations of Critical Thinking & Structured Analysis CT200 – Critical Thinking for Analysts CT300 – Advanced Critical Thinking for Analysts CT500 – Leading Critical Thinkers CT600 – Critical Thinking for Learning Professionals CT700 – Critical Thinking for Executives DA100 – Foundations of Data Analytics DA200 – The Art & Science of Data Analytics

DANIELLE STORAN, PMP President & CEO 757.870.7237 Danielle.Storan@IntegrityISR.com

Certified Space Professional 2 (CSP-2) SP200 – Space Systems Design CSP2 Certification Exam

MIKE GRUNWALD, PMP Retired USAF Colonel Senior Vice President 512.960.0002 Mike.Grunwald@IntegrityISR.com

Certified Space Professional 3 (CSP-3) SP300 – Adversary Space Capabilities I SP310 – Adversary Space Capabilities II

Certified Space Professional Executive (CSP-E) SP900 – The Space Domain & National Security Executive Seminar

Cyber CYBER900 – Cyber Security Strategy ENG200 – English for Cyber

DUNS: 048869303

Continuing Space Education SP101 – Introduction to Space Operations SP102 – Introduction to Space SP103 – Math for Space SP201 – Space Race 2.0 SP202 – Advanced OrbitalMechanics SP203 – Joint Planning Process SP204 – Space Surveillance Network/Object Surveillance & ID SP301 – Electromagnetic Warfare SP302 – Cyberspace SP303 – Anti-Satellite Weapons

Faculty Development FD600 – Facilitation for Learning Professionals CT600 – Critical Thinking for Learning Professionals

NAICS: 611512 (Flight Training) 611519 (Other Technical Training and Trade Schools)

ISR – Analysis PED100 – Intelligence Planning Cycle EM110 – Electromagnetic Spectrum Fundamentals IADS100 – IADS Foundations IADS200 – Rethinking IADS IADS310 – Advanced IADS Analysis

DDTC/ITAR Registered

Company Address: 3461 Frances Berkeley Williamsburg VA 23188

Space Specializations – Coming This Fall! SP400 – Space Operations Planning SP410 – Rendezvous and Proximity Operations SP420 – Space Domain Awareness SP430 – Space Control SP440 – Space ISR SP450 – Space Battle Management SP460 – International SpacePolicy and Strategy SP470 – Space Acquisitions SP480 – Intelligence Support to Space

ISR – Targeting TGT110 – Fundamentals of Targeting TGT210 – Target Development I TGT211 – Target Development II TGT212 – Target Capabilities Analysis TGT213 – Target Force Assignments TGT214 – Mission Planning & Force Execution TGT215 – Combat Assessment TGT310 – Weaponeering and Collateral Damage Assessment TGT311 – HVI Target Development TGT312 – Precision Point Mensuration TGT315 – Targeting Professional

On The Web: IntegrityISR.com ISRUniversity.com LinkedIn

ISR University Program Manager Brandon Black Brandon.Black@IntegrityISR.com

ISR University Space Program Manager Jason Dean Jason.Dean@IntegrityISR.com

Original PDF links: Email · Email · Source 1 · Source 2 · Source 3 · Email · Email