Issue 72

Space Race? A look at China v US Capabilities

A comparison of United States and Chinese space capabilities and international partnerships.

24 Apr 2023: Space Review posted an analysis by Svetla Ben-Itzhak (a professor who studies space and international relations) which takes a comparative look at the space capabilities between China and the United States. Bottom line: We are currently in a state of a complex hegemony: one nation, the US, is still dominating in key space capabilities, and this lead is further amplified by a strong network of partners.

– In several key areas, the US is far ahead not only of China, but of all other spacefaring nations combined.

– In 2021, the US space budget was roughly US$59.8 billion. China has been investing heavily in space and rocket technology over the last decade and has doubled its spending in the last five years. But with an estimated budget of $16.18 billion in 2021, it is still spending less than a third of the US budget.

– US also leads significantly in the number of active satellites. Currently, there are 5,465 total operational satellites in orbit around Earth. The US operates 3,433, or 63% of those. In contrast, China has 541.

– In 2021, for instance, China attempted 55 orbital launches, four more than the US. The total numbers may be similar, but the rockets carried very different payloads to orbit. The vast majority—84%—of Chinese launches had government or military payloads intended mostly for electronic intelligence and optical imaging. Meanwhile, in the US, 61% of launches were for nonmilitary, academic or commercial use, predominantly for Earth observation or telecommunications.

– A major point of difference between the US and China is the nature and number of international collaborations.

– The US government has signed 169 space data sharing agreements with 33 states and intergovernmental organizations, 129 with commercial partners and seven with academic institutions.

– China also has allies that help with space, most notably Russia and members of the Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization, such as Iran, Pakistan, Thailand, and Turkey. China’s collaborators are, however, fewer in number and have far less developed space capabilities.

– In 2019, Russia and China agreed to jointly go to the Moon by 2028. Their future International Lunar Research Station is “open to all interested parties and international partners,” but, to date, no additional countries have committed to the Chinese and Russian effort.

– Since 2020, 23 nations have joined the US-led Artemis Accords.

Number of active satellites as of April 2022.

International Lunar Research Station rendering.

Launch vehicles shown in the comparison of US and Chinese space capabilities.

Artemis Accords participating nations.