Issue 105

CASI Report: China’s Efforts to Track GSSAP

9 Sep: The China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI) released a report from Kristin Burke that explores China's deepening analysis of US space domain awareness (SDA) capabilities, specifically Chinese academic journals analysis of US Geostationary Space Situational Awareness Program (GSSAP) satellites' on-orbit…

9 Sep: The China Aerospace Studies Institute (CASI) released a report from Kristin Burke that explores China’s deepening analysis of US space domain awareness (SDA) capabilities, specifically Chinese academic journals analysis of US Geostationary Space Situational Awareness Program (GSSAP) satellites’ on-orbit behavior. In doing so China is attempting to lead the narrative regarding RPO-like activities in GEO and enhance China’s “voice and influence in the international rules system.” Excerpts Below. Also, here is my interview with Kristin.

– China’s ability to track GSSAP is improving in two noteworthy ways. First, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was able to track GSSAP-3, despite limited Western data. This probably indicates PLA progress in fusing its own SDA data with Western SDA data. Second, China’s space practitioners are becoming more confident in publicizing approaches involving GSSAP and Chinese satellites that occur within 100km, probably because they can build off of research openly published by the PLA.

– Chinese experts appear to be preparing to fill the gap in international discourse around GSSAP operations which is lacking in public U.S. and international forums.

– Understanding of GSSAP’s pattern of life has probably helped the Chinese develop satellite software to autonomously detect and command the satellite to maneuver when its sensors notice anything similar to GSSAP’s historical approaches.

– Shiyan-12 01 and 02 detected a GSSAP satellite, separated, and turned, probably to take a picture of GSSAP-3 with favorable lighting conditions.

– CAST received the examples of close approaches from the Russian-led International Scientific Optical Network (ISON), a benefit probably resulting from

the fact that multiple Chinese sensors contribute to ISON.

– In April 2023, analysts from CAS & CAST…updated the PLA’s assessment of the solar phase angles during select close approaches with Chinese


satellites….they also included the first known chart on GSSAP-5 and 6’s longitude and altitude.

– In November 2023 CAST published the first publicly known example of what they claim is GSSAP-5’s close approach with SJ-23.

Chinese space experts are readying to meet calls from the Chinese Communist Party, PLA, and the China National Space Administration to enhance China’s “voice and influence in the international rules system”…the PLA seeks to address what it has referred to as “GSSAP’s one-way transparency,” which according to them allows the U.S. to have more information than other satellite operators. Space industry watchers and the international community should only expect more Chinese analysis on satellites’ pattern of life.