Issue 112

TJS-13 Finds a Home: Welcome to HEO

18 Dec: China placed its TJS-13 (62188), launched on 3 Dec 2024, into a Highly Elliptical Orbit (HEO) with an apogee of 38,675.8km, a perigee of 1,687.8km and an inclination of 63.4°. Hopefully this inclination catches your attention as it is the famed “ Molniya” orbit (more details on this orbit from Jack Anthony in…

18 Dec: China placed its TJS-13 (62188), launched on 3 Dec 2024, into a Highly Elliptical Orbit (HEO) with an apogee of 38,675.8km, a perigee of 1,687.8km and an inclination of 63.4°. Hopefully this inclination catches your attention as it is the famed “Molniya” orbit (more details on this orbit from Jack Anthony in next article). TJS-13 is the first TJS satellite not in GEO and joins Shiyan-10 01 (49258) and Shiyan-10 02 (54878) as China’s only HEO satellites…all three are in Molniya orbits with an inclination of 63.4° and an argument of perigee of 270°.

– TJS-13’s HEO orbit supports the rumor (see 8 Dec 2024 Flash) that the satellite would perform the Missile Warning (aka Early Warning) mission.

– HEO satellites are great for providing communications or remote sensing (missile warning) over one of the hemispheres…to date all HEO satellites have had their apogee over the Northern Hemisphere.

– Due to the nature of their orbits TJS-13, SY-10 01 and SY-10 02 will have long dwell times over the northern hemisphere providing the ability to observe missiles launching from the Northern Hemisphere and heading over the North Pole.

– HEO satellites are also good for providing communications in the Arctic region (where GEO satellites struggle) and this is a possible mission, but I think it unlikely as none of the Chinese landmass is in the Arctic. It could be useful to provide communications support to Chinese shipping and other facilities in the Arctic region, but I believe the more likely mission is Missile Warning.

– It appears that China has deliberately synchronized the orbits of TJS-13 and SY-10 01.

– With just SY 10-01 and 10-02 on orbit China had 24-hour coverage, but only from one satellite at a time…either the spot over the UK or over Kamchatka.

– With the addition of TJS-13, for 12 hours/day both spots are occupied. China has gone from 1-satellite coverage all day long to 2-satellite coverage ½ the time and 1-satellite coverage ½ the time.

– Probably a good bet that a future TJS satellite will head to HEO and synchronize with SY-10 02.

– Taking a look at their orbital history it appears as if SY-10 01 performed some unusual maneuvers between 20-27 November 2024 (TJS-13 launched the following week on 3 December). On ~ 20 Nov SY-10 01 dropped 14.3km of SMA, from 21-26 Nov it regained ~0.5km of SMA and then 26-27 Nov it regained ~12.4km of SMA. Going back to 2022 I could find no other similar maneuver in SY-10 01’s history.