Issue 59

China Simulates Nuclear Blast Against Satellites

20 Oct 2022: According to a recent computer simulation performed by a team of Chinese military scientists , a nuclear explosion in close space might produce a radioactive cloud over a region the size of New York State , disabling or killing satellites in near-Earth orbit. - Researchers at the People's Liberation…

20 Oct 2022: According to a recent computer simulation performed by a team of Chinese military scientists, a nuclear explosion in close space might produce a radioactive cloud over a region the size of New York State, disabling or killing satellites in near-Earth orbit. – Researchers at the People’s Liberation Army-run Northwest Institute of Nuclear Technology in Xian created a model that can assess the performance of nuclear anti-satellite missiles at various altitudes and yields with unparalleled depth and accuracy. -According to modeling results, a 10-megaton warhead, which is relatively weak by today’s standards, may pose a severe threat to satellites if it explodes at an altitude of 80km (50 miles). – Nuclear physicist Liu Li and his colleagues predicted that the explosion may produce a cloud that resembled an upside-down pear and convert air molecules into radioactive particles. Their findings were published on 15 Oct in the peer-reviewed journal Nuclear Techniques. – “The strong residual radiation of the debris cloud may cause failures of spacecraft moving in it, …or even cause direct damage that can lead to destruction,” the researchers said. – An explosion very close to space would produce a cloud with a total mass much higher than the bomb itself because of the air molecules present in the Earth’s atmosphere. “Due to the high concentration of fission products inside the debris cloud, the released gamma rays and beta particles are strong, making their effects on spacecraft and communications within the affected area stronger,” Liu’s team wrote. – The cloud would rise straight up at a speed of up to 2.3km/s just after the explosion, creating a massive trap for target satellites. According to the simulation, the majority of the air molecules would fall back to Earth instead of staying in orbit, eliminating the radiation belt effect and drastically lowering the risk to other satellites or spacecraft. China has not tested a nuclear weapon in near space. On August 1, 1958, the US detonated a 3.8-megaton bomb at an altitude of 77km over the Johnston Atoll west of Hawaii — an experiment known as the Teak test. Some Honolulu residents said the explosion created a fireball that turned from light yellow to red, and a huge cloud rose from the fireball and remained visible for about half an hour. Liu’s team said their computer simulation closely matched the results of the Teak test, which eventually produced a cloud more than 700km across. Check out Star Fish Prime Video.

High-altitude nuclear explosion image used in the issue to illustrate the modeled anti-satellite blast scenario.