Issue 76

Mitchell Institute Report on US Space Challenges

26 Jun 2023: A new paper from the Mitchell Institute argues for the urgent need for the USSF to develop a broad range of offensive and defensive counterspace weapons. These weapons should be based on orbit, and are necessary to counter China. The paper also notes the need for a clear policy statement of US government…

26 Jun 2023: A new paper from the Mitchell Institute argues for the urgent need for the USSF to develop a broad range of offensive and defensive counterspace weapons. These weapons should be based on orbit, and are necessary to counter China. The paper also notes the need for a clear policy statement of US government intent, and the development of an integrated plan for building such an arsenal. Watch Interview with Maj Gen Miller.

– The paper, “Building US Space Force Counterspace Capabilities: An Imperative for America’s Defense,” acknowledges the value of diplomacy for norm setting and the service’s current focus on building resilience, but it says that these to approaches are not enough to provide deterrence to a more aggressive China and Russia – both of which have been steadily working to build up their own capabilities to target US satellites.

– The paper stresses that China is rapidly expanding its own military space capabilities – such as intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance and communications satellites – designed to allow the People’s Liberation Army to better project force outside of its own territory, and its ability to go toe-to-toe with the US military in a conflict. Further, it posits the Space Force also needs offensive weapons, to take away advantages the PLA will gain from such new capabilities that put US forces in harms way.

-The recommendations in essence put forward an implementation plan for the “competitive endurance” framework, for achieving “space superiority” laid out by Chief of Space Operations Gen. Chance Saltzman in March. That strategy calls for the Space Force to develop capabilities to target adversary space systems in a manner that doesn’t result in a “Pyrrhic victory” by also destroying the space environment – what Saltzman dubbed as “responsible counterspace campaigning.”

-The paper adds the architecture should not just include ground, air, sea and space-based counterspace weapons to target Chinese space systems, but also US military satellites with on-board defense systems. It also requires a robust infrastructure – such as improved space domain awareness and satellite control networks – to allow operations to be executed “at scale.”

Launches reaching orbit by country from 2015 through 2022.

Intentional orbital-debris-generating events and remaining debris.