Issue 98

Russia: Cosmos-2576 and Cosmos-2558 Inspection Satellites

20 May 2024: During a Security Council meeting, US United Nations ambassador Robert Wood accused Russia of launching a 'counterspace weapon' into Low earth Orbit on May 16. Ambassador Wood was no doubt referring to Cosmos-2576. Pentagon spokesman Brigadier General Pat Ryder later repeated the claim . The Pentagon…

20 May 2024: During a Security Council meeting, US United Nations ambassador Robert Wood accused Russia of launching a ‘counterspace weapon’ into Low earth Orbit on May 16. Ambassador Wood was no doubt referring to Cosmos-2576. Pentagon spokesman Brigadier General Pat Ryder later repeated the claim. The Pentagon statement mentioned Cosmos-2576 was in “the same orbit” as a US Government satellite, in this case USA 314. This should sound familiar as it is the third time Russia has launched one of its satellites to be nearly co-planar with a US high-value asset. – Here is the US Statement: “Just last week, on May 16, Russia launched a satellite into low Earth orbit that the United States assesses is likely a counterspace weapon, presumably capable of attacking other satellites in low Earth orbit…Russia deployed this new counterspace weapon into the same orbit as a U.S. government satellite.” -As noted previously Russia launched Cosmos-2576 into a nearly co-planar orbit with USA 314. Orbital Focus. These single Two Line Element sets were used to create our graphics.> -Per Dr Marco Longbroek’s SatTrackCam Leiden (b)log:
  • Cosmos-2576 orbital plane might not be random. As was first pointed out by Bob Christy, the orbital plane closely matches that of the American KH-11 ADVANCED CRYSTAL spy satellite USA 314 (2021-032A).
  • Kosmos 2576, differs in RAAN with USA 314 by only 0.02 degrees, and in inclination by only 0.8 degrees. Its current orbital altitude (451 x 436 km) is lower than that of USA 314 (769 x 548 km), but both orbital altitude and inclination are the same as that of a previous ‘inspector satellite’.
  • We have seen this happen before. In August 2022, Kosmos 2558 was inserted into the orbital plane of the American KH-11 spy satellite USA 326 (see this earlier blogpost), making close approaches each 5 days. Earlier, in 2020, Kosmos 2542 and its spawn Kosmos 2543 were inserted into the orbital plane of the American KH-11 spy satellite USA 245, also making close approaches.
  • Editor’s Comment: Lack of orbital information for the USA satellites makes further analysis extremely difficult. It would be interesting to determine if the solar phase angle was favorable for the Russian satellites to collect imagery of the US satellites.

Cosmos-2576 and USA 314 orbital comparison (Robin Planell/LSAS).

Cosmos-2558 and USA 326 orbital comparison (Robin Planell/LSAS).

Orbital geometry associated with the Russian inspection-satellite comparison (Robin Planell/LSAS).