Issue 60

Physics stands between Russia and effective space warfare

28 Oct 2022: Russian “non-kinetic” attacks have not really succeeded in stopping the use of space assets in support of Ukraine. That has led to discussions on kinetic threats-using missiles to destroy satellites in orbit. However, destroying a modern satellite network is very difficult. - Most privately-built…

28 Oct 2022: Russian “non-kinetic” attacks have not really succeeded in stopping the use of space assets in support of Ukraine. That has led to discussions on kinetic threats-using missiles to destroy satellites in orbit. However, destroying a modern satellite network is very difficult.

– Most privately-built satellites are small and relatively cheap, operating as networks of hundreds or even thousands

of spacecraft flying many miles apart.

-Destroying one or even several of these spacecraft could degrade the capability of the satellite network, but not put it

out of action entirely.

-The precision-guided missiles required to destroy the satellites, on the other hand, are expensive to build and launch, at a time when key components like chips and gyroscopes are difficult for Russia to import due to sanctions.

-Any serious attempt to take out a constellation would involve multiple strikes and unpredictable results. Other satellites would be threatened, as would the International Space Station. Any state that has invested in space assets would think twice about risking them with a large strike in orbit.

Illustration used in the issue to depict the difficulty of using kinetic attacks against distributed satellite networks.