Issue 39

Why Russia Tested Its ASAT Weapon

Foreign Policy examined why Russia may have chosen to demonstrate a kinetic ASAT capability before tighter international restrictions emerged.

26 Dec 2021: Foreign Policy examined possible Russian motivations for the kinetic anti-satellite test conducted on 15 Nov 2021. Read the article.

– The article argued that Russia demonstrated defense and deterrence capability while also projecting power before ASAT testing might become more restricted through international mechanisms.

– Earlier Chinese and U.S. ASAT tests in 2007 and 2008 helped drive international initiatives addressing long-term sustainability.

– China and Russia had proposed a treaty on preventing placement of weapons in outer space, but that approach did not cover Earth-based ASAT systems.

– A U.N. Open-Ended Working Group was established to discuss responsible behavior and possible future rules.

The issue argues Russia likely understood the environmental consequences and international condemnation, but a future ban could also lock in the advantages of powers that already possess demonstrated ASAT capability.

Illustration associated with the Russian ASAT article.